Company

Private Equity firm executing strategic power plant acquisitions across the US Midwest.

Challenge

Develop sophisticated stochastic forecasts of spark spreads and optimized simulations for 5 power plants across 4 Midwest states under diverse operational constraints.

SATURN

• Delivered stochastic framework to forecast market prices and spark spreads across the Midwest hubs.
• Developed optimized operations of power plants and forecasted operating margins and potential margin variability.
• Provided breakdowns, long term trends, sensitivity analysis, and risk metrics that facilitated valuation with confidence.

Impact

• Empowered acquisition team to execute winning bid with data-driven confidence and strategic advantage.
• Delivered comprehensive asset valuation framework including probabilistic variability assessment.
• Provided analytical foundation that guided business setup and operational optimization strategies.

SATURN Applications