Evaluate Power Plants for Acquisition
Company
Private Equity firm executing strategic power plant acquisitions across the US Midwest.
Challenge
Develop sophisticated stochastic forecasts of spark spreads and optimized simulations for 5 power plants across 4 Midwest states under diverse operational constraints.
SATURN
- Delivered stochastic framework to forecast market prices and spark spreads across the Midwest hubs.
- Developed optimized operations of power plants and forecasted operating margins and potential margin variability.
- Provided breakdowns, long term trends, sensitivity analysis, and risk metrics that facilitated valuation with confidence.
Impact
- Empowered acquisition team to execute winning bid with data-driven confidence and strategic advantage.
- Delivered comprehensive asset valuation framework including probabilistic variability assessment.
- Provided analytical foundation that guided business setup and operational optimization strategies.